Consadole Sapporo 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Consadole Sapporo EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +7%
1.94/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.16
+50% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.3 Crosses 18.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Consadole Sapporo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
02.03.2025 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 2-0 Consadole Sapporo Consadole Sapporo JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Consadole Sapporo
1-0
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 9
312 Passes 250
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Consadole Sapporo vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Consadole Sapporo nicked a narrow win over Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Consadole Sapporo found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Consadole Sapporo had 53% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 47%, shots finished 15-16.

What was the final score of Consadole Sapporo vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Consadole Sapporo 1-0 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Consadole Sapporo vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Consadole Sapporo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Consadole Sapporo 38%, draw 27%, Renofa Yamaguchi 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Consadole Sapporo), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Consadole Sapporo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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