JEF United 0-2 Sagan Tosu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
4.36
6+ Goals
9%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.2pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JEF United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagan Tosu EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.14/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.19
-13% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
346 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.2 Crosses 18.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JEF United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sagan Tosu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 0
362 Passes 408
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2025 Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu 1-1 HT 1-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JEF United
0-2
AWAY Sagan Tosu
60% Ball Possession 40%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
363 Passes 223
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH JEF United vs Sagan Tosu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagan Tosu beat JEF United 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was JEF United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, JEF United had 60% of the ball to Sagan Tosu's 40%, shots finished 8-9.

What was the final score of JEF United vs Sagan Tosu?

JEF United 0-2 Sagan Tosu in the Japan - J2 League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JEF United vs Sagan Tosu?

Before kick-off our model rated a JEF United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split JEF United 43%, draw 29%, Sagan Tosu 28%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (JEF United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JEF United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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