Vegalta Sendai 0-1 Kataller Toyama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -17%
1.66/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.54
-5% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.9 Crosses 13.1
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vegalta Sendai
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Kataller Toyama
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
297 Passes 370
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.06.2025 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 0-1 HT 0-1 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JPK
30.03.2025 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-1 HT 0-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
0-1
AWAY Kataller Toyama
68% Ball Possession 32%
22 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 4
454 Passes 176
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs Kataller Toyama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama nicked a narrow win over Vegalta Sendai 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Vegalta Sendai at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 68% of the ball to Kataller Toyama's 32%, shots finished 22-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vegalta Sendai and 0.50 for Kataller Toyama.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs Kataller Toyama?

Vegalta Sendai 0-1 Kataller Toyama in the Japan - J2 League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs Kataller Toyama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 48%, draw 26%, Kataller Toyama 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✗ BTTS Yes
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