Tochigi City 3-2 Ryukyu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-7.9pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.2pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.4pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tochigi City EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.8
Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tochigi City
3-2
AWAY Ryukyu
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 1
95 Passes 244
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tochigi City vs Ryukyu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tochigi City edged past Ryukyu 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tochigi City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tochigi City had 56% of the ball to Ryukyu's 44%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Tochigi City vs Ryukyu?

Tochigi City 3-2 Ryukyu in the Japan - J3 League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tochigi City vs Ryukyu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tochigi City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Tochigi City 53%, draw 23%, Ryukyu 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tochigi City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tochigi City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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