Nara Club 4-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.4pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.4pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nara Club EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.40/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/0.92
+11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.7 Crosses 11.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nara Club
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 239
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Nara Club Nara Club 0-2 HT 0-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
16.06.2024 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 2-1 HT 1-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
06.08.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 0-1 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
11.06.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 0-0 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nara Club
4-0
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
377 Passes 329
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
8 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nara Club vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club cruised past Giravanz Kitakyushu 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Nara Club made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nara Club had 55% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 45%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Giravanz Kitakyushu led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nara Club and 1.50 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of Nara Club vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Nara Club 4-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the Japan - J3 League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nara Club vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nara Club win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Nara Club 37%, draw 30%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nara Club), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nara Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP3 More Japan - J3 League
5 Jul 2025
12:00 Matsumoto Yamaga vs ThespaKusatsu Gunma Analysis →
12:00 Zweigen Kanazawa vs Fukushima United Analysis →
12:00 Azul Claro Numazu vs Kochi United Analysis →
12:00 Tochigi City vs Ryukyu Analysis →
12:30 Vanraure Hachinohe vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki Analysis →
13:00 Kagoshima United vs Tochigi SC Analysis →