Aktobe 2-0 Atyrau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
69%
-4.3pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.2pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+4.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.4pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Atyrau EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -8%
2.03/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.21
-6% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Atyrau
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
30.03.2025 Atyrau Atyrau 0-4 HT 0-2 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
11.08.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 1-1 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
07.04.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 1-1 HT 1-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
27.08.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
29.04.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZKK
19.04.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 2-2 HT 0-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZKK
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs Atyrau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe beat Atyrau 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aktobe as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aktobe and 0.67 for Atyrau.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs Atyrau?

Aktobe 2-0 Atyrau in the Kazakistan - Super League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Atyrau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 64%, draw 18%, Atyrau 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aktobe) ✓ BTTS No
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