Deportivo Recoleta 2-4 Sportivo Trinidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
48%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
48%
Away Win
41%
+6.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Recoleta EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
0.49/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.24
-56% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -16%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2025 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 1-2 HT 0-1 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense PAR
22.03.2025 Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Recoleta
2-4
AWAY Sportivo Trinidense
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 10
9 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Trinidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Trinidense got the better of Deportivo Recoleta 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sportivo Trinidense as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Deportivo Recoleta had 54% of the ball to Sportivo Trinidense's 46%, shots finished 13-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Sportivo Trinidense led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Recoleta and 1.50 for Sportivo Trinidense.

What was the final score of Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Deportivo Recoleta 2-4 Sportivo Trinidense in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Recoleta vs Sportivo Trinidense?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportivo Trinidense win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Recoleta 27%, draw 25%, Sportivo Trinidense 48%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sportivo Trinidense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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