Cerro Porteno 3-1 General Caballero JLM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 5 Jul 2025

📅05/07/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-12.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.2pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+7.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY General Caballero JLM EU Bookmakers 18%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +26%
1.74/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.04
-3% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +56%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
34.0 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
4W-1D-1L
AWAY General Caballero JLM
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.69 xG 1.26
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
360 Passes 212
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2025 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-1 HT 2-1 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
10.03.2025 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 0-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
14.10.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-1 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
09.08.2024 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 2-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
29.04.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4-0 HT 2-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
05.02.2024 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 2-2 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
3-1
AWAY General Caballero JLM
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs General Caballero JLM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno saw off General Caballero JLM 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 51% of the ball to General Caballero JLM's 49%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.00 for General Caballero JLM.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs General Caballero JLM?

Cerro Porteno 3-1 General Caballero JLM in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 05/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs General Caballero JLM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 51%, draw 26%, General Caballero JLM 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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