Cerro Porteno 2-1 General Caballero JLM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 14 Oct 2024

📅14/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.45
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
65%
-15.8pp
29%
Draw
21%
+7.4pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.9pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY General Caballero JLM EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +21%
1.85/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.18
+4% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +46%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 223 · 70%
39.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
34.0 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro Porteno
2W-2D-2L
AWAY General Caballero JLM
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.69 xG 1.26
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
360 Passes 212
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 15
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.08.2024 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 2-1 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
29.04.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4-0 HT 2-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
05.02.2024 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 2-2 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
07.10.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
23.07.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 1-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
21.05.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-2 HT 1-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro Porteno
2-1
AWAY General Caballero JLM
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Cerro Porteno vs General Caballero JLM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Porteno nicked a narrow win over General Caballero JLM 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Cerro Porteno as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cerro Porteno had 57% of the ball to General Caballero JLM's 43%, shots finished 11-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Cerro Porteno and 1.17 for General Caballero JLM.

What was the final score of Cerro Porteno vs General Caballero JLM?

Cerro Porteno 2-1 General Caballero JLM in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 14/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro Porteno vs General Caballero JLM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Cerro Porteno 49%, draw 29%, General Caballero JLM 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cerro Porteno) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →