General Caballero JLM 2-1 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
57%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.7pp
57%
Away Win
57%
+0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.8pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME General Caballero JLM EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 62%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +3%
0.60/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/0.77
-36% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME General Caballero JLM
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.04.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 4-0 HT 2-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
05.02.2024 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 2-2 HT 1-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
07.10.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 1-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
23.07.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 2-0 HT 1-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
21.05.2023 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 1-2 HT 1-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
21.03.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 2-3 HT 2-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME General Caballero JLM
2-1
AWAY Cerro Porteno
1.26 xG 0.69
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
212 Passes 360
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH General Caballero JLM vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

General Caballero JLM nicked a narrow win over Cerro Porteno 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Cerro Porteno carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, General Caballero JLM had 40% of the ball to Cerro Porteno's 60%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.26 to 0.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cerro Porteno led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for General Caballero JLM and 2.17 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of General Caballero JLM vs Cerro Porteno?

General Caballero JLM 2-1 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for General Caballero JLM vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split General Caballero JLM 19%, draw 24%, Cerro Porteno 57%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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