Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 Tacuary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
50%
-11.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.9pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-9.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+9.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.8pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportivo Luqueno EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Tacuary EU Bookmakers 24%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +3%
1.61/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.53
+8% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tacuary
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 1-2 HT 0-1 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
04.02.2024 Tacuary Tacuary 1-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
24.11.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 1-1 HT 0-0 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
10.09.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 3-1 HT 0-1 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
31.05.2023 Tacuary Tacuary 3-1 HT 2-1 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno PAR
27.03.2023 Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 2-0 HT 2-0 Tacuary Tacuary PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sportivo Luqueno
1-1
AWAY Tacuary
0.46 xG 0.69
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
210 Passes 376
65% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 19
8 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sportivo Luqueno vs Tacuary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportivo Luqueno and Tacuary couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sportivo Luqueno had 39% of the ball to Tacuary's 61%, shots finished 6-9, expected goals 0.46 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sportivo Luqueno and 1.33 for Tacuary.

What was the final score of Sportivo Luqueno vs Tacuary?

Sportivo Luqueno 1-1 Tacuary in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportivo Luqueno vs Tacuary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportivo Luqueno win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Luqueno 39%, draw 31%, Tacuary 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportivo Luqueno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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