FC Seoul 1-0 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Korea - K League 1, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.68
Over
42%
1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.68
2-3
42%
1.73
4-5
17%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.58
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
24%
4.33
X/2
9%
7.87
X/X
13%
4.28
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
12%
6.46
2/X
6%
14.95
Value flag · X/1 at 4.33 — our 24% vs market 18.1%. Landed.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME FC Seoul The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United The Market 27%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Bad Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Strong
1.03 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.94
0.68 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.27
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Weak Defensevs comparable teams Great
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
19.5 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Seoul
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Incheon United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
470 Passes 316
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.02.2026 Incheon United Incheon United 1-2 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
27.07.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
11.05.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
10.03.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
22.07.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 0-1 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
07.06.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Seoul
1-0
AWAY Incheon United
6 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
320 Passes 356
19 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW FC Seoul vs Incheon United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

FC Seoul found just enough to beat Incheon United 1-0. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Seoul as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Seoul had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Seoul and 0.67 for Incheon United.

FC Seoul vs Incheon United Result & Final Score

FC Seoul 1-0 Incheon United in the South Korea - K League 1 on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

FC Seoul vs Incheon United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Seoul win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Seoul 48%, draw 27%, Incheon United 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Seoul), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Seoul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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