Gimcheon Sangmu 1-1 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Korea - K League 1, 5 Jul 2026

📅05/07/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.82
Over
48%
1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.06
2-3
41%
1.74
4-5
22%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.33
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
11%
5.28
X/2
14%
6.28
X/X
14%
4.36
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
12%
4.38
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 9% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United The Market 34%
Great Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Great Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.20 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 1.25
0.83 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.14
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Weak
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Average
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
20.4 Crosses 15.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Jeju United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
368 Passes 281
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2026 Jeju United Jeju United 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
26.07.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 3-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
17.05.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
22.02.2025 Jeju United Jeju United 2-3 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
01.09.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
18.05.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1-1
AWAY Jeju United
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
387 Passes 324
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeju United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Gimcheon Sangmu and Jeju United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. Nothing to argue with on goals either — both teams to score (55%) came home.

Under the surface, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.00 for Jeju United.

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeju United Result & Final Score

Gimcheon Sangmu 1-1 Jeju United in the South Korea - K League 1 on 05/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeju United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 38%, draw 29%, Jeju United 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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