Jeju United 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.12
6+ Goals
9%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.65
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1
10%
6.2
X/2
15%
4.99
X/X
11%
4.09
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.33
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-1.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 43%
+6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
0.56/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.88
+11% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
17.1 Crosses 21.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
297 Passes 336
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 3-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
17.05.2025 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-1 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOR
22.02.2025 Jeju United Jeju United 2-3 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
01.09.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
18.05.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
13.04.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 0-2 HT 0-2 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
1-1
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
253 Passes 523
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United and Gimcheon Sangmu shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Jeju United had 35% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 65%, shots finished 7-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jeju United and 1.67 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Jeju United 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 34%, draw 28%, Gimcheon Sangmu 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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