Jeju United 2-3 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.22
6+ Goals
10%
20.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.15
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
14%
5.8
X/2
19%
5.4
X/X
13%
4.14
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
10%
3.7
2/X
8%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
36%
-0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.94/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.40
-29% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
22.0 Crosses 20.4
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jeju United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.61 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
348 Passes 379
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
29 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.09.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 1-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
18.05.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
13.04.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 0-2 HT 0-2 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
10.09.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 HT 1-1 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
05.07.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 4-0 HT 2-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
08.05.2022 Jeju United Jeju United 3-1 HT 1-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
2-3
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 5
289 Passes 275
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu nicked a narrow win over Jeju United 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Gimcheon Sangmu found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Jeju United had 51% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 49%, shots finished 7-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jeju United and 1.50 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Jeju United 2-3 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jeju United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 37%, draw 27%, Gimcheon Sangmu 36%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Jeju United) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
22 Feb 2025
10:30 FC Seoul vs Anyang Analysis →
10:30 Daegu vs Suwon City Analysis →