UCV 2-1 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 5 Aug 2026

UCV
2-1 HT 1-1
Monagas
📅05/08/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.27/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.44
-1% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
281 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
23.3 Crosses 17.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Monagas
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.22 xG 0.95
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
219 Passes 296
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2026 Monagas Monagas 0-3 HT 0-2 UCV UCV VEN
15.09.2025 Monagas Monagas 2-0 HT 2-0 UCV UCV VEN
05.04.2025 UCV UCV 0-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
15.08.2024 Monagas Monagas 1-3 HT 0-1 UCV UCV VEN
24.02.2024 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
28.08.2023 Monagas Monagas 1-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
2-1
AWAY Monagas
1.35 xG 0.50
22 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
341 Passes 337
22 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UCV vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV nicked a narrow win over Monagas 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UCV as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.35 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for UCV and 0.83 for Monagas.

What was the final score of UCV vs Monagas?

UCV 2-1 Monagas in the Venezuela - Premier League on 05/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split UCV 48%, draw 25%, Monagas 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCV), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (UCV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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