Monagas 2-0 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 15 Sep 2025

Monagas
2-0 HT 2-0
UCV
📅15/09/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.5pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +18%
1.08/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.13
+2% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 75%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.4 Crosses 20.3
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY UCV
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.23 xG 0.73
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
293 Passes 218
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.04.2025 UCV UCV 0-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
15.08.2024 Monagas Monagas 1-3 HT 0-1 UCV UCV VEN
24.02.2024 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
28.08.2023 Monagas Monagas 1-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
12.03.2023 UCV UCV 0-2 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
29.07.2022 UCV UCV 0-2 HT 0-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
2-0
AWAY UCV
1.00 xG 2.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
205 Passes 197
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
13 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Monagas vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas saw off UCV 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Monagas as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Monagas had 48% of the ball to UCV's 52%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.00 to 2.05 — on chances, UCV could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monagas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Monagas and 0.67 for UCV.

What was the final score of Monagas vs UCV?

Monagas 2-0 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Monagas 46%, draw 26%, UCV 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monagas), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monagas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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