Carabobo vs Caracas FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carabobo v Caracas FC — Team-Based Signals
Carabobo vs Caracas FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Caracas FC
VEN
0-0
HT 0-0
Carabobo
VEN
0-0
HT 0-0
Carabobo
VEN
Carabobo 1-0 Caracas FC — Actual Match Statistics
Carabobo edged past Caracas FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Carabobo had 48% of the ball to Caracas FC's 52%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.70 to 0.46 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Carabobo's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carabobo had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Carabobo and 0.17 for Caracas FC.
What was the final score of Carabobo vs Caracas FC?
Carabobo 1-0 Caracas FC in the Venezuela - Premier League on 15/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carabobo vs Caracas FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 55%, draw 26%, Caracas FC 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.