Dundalk vs St Patricks Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dundalk v St Patricks — Team-Based Signals
Dundalk vs St Patricks Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 0-0
Dundalk
İRL
1-1
HT 0-1
St Patricks
İRL
2-1
HT 1-0
Dundalk
İRL
Dundalk 1-2 St Patricks — Actual Match Statistics
St Patricks nicked a narrow win over Dundalk 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Dundalk had 40% of the ball to St Patricks's 60%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.27 to 2.15.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dundalk and 1.50 for St Patricks.
What was the final score of Dundalk vs St Patricks?
Dundalk 1-2 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 05/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dundalk vs St Patricks?
Before kick-off our model rated an St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 29%, draw 28%, St Patricks 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.