Al Wasl Dubai 4-2 Al Dhafra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.57
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
21%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
26%
2.5
6+ Goals
13%
5.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
59%
+2.8pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.3pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+1.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.5pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wasl Dubai EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Dhafra EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.07/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.39
+3% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 78%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
15.9 Crosses 14.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Al Dhafra
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.28 xG 0.40
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
435 Passes 208
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.08.2025 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 1-5 HT 1-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAELK
23.08.2025 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 3-1 HT 1-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
03.03.2023 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
08.10.2022 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
11.05.2022 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra BAE
21.11.2021 Al Dhafra Al Dhafra 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
4-2
AWAY Al Dhafra
2.15 xG 0.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
355 Passes 310
89% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Dhafra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wasl Dubai got the better of Al Dhafra 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Wasl Dubai as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Wasl Dubai had 50% of the ball to Al Dhafra's 50%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 2.15 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Wasl Dubai had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Al Wasl Dubai and 1.00 for Al Dhafra.

What was the final score of Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Dhafra?

Al Wasl Dubai 4-2 Al Dhafra in the UAE - League Cup on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Dhafra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wasl Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Wasl Dubai 62%, draw 17%, Al Dhafra 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BAELK More UAE - League Cup
5 Sep 2025
16:50 Al Ittihad Kalba vs Al Ain Analysis →
16:50 Al Bataeh vs Al Nasr Analysis →