Al Bataeh 2-3 Al Nasr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 5 Sep 2025

📅05/09/2025 · 🕒16:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
54%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.99
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.46
6+ Goals
8%
14.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 28% vs market 21.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
25%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
54%
Away Win
49%
+4.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Bataeh EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +42%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
Crosses 14.4
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Bataeh
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Nasr
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.26 xG 1.82
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
226 Passes 401
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2025 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAELK
27.03.2025 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
27.10.2024 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 3-4 HT 2-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
21.04.2024 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 1-3 HT 0-1 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
03.11.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
06.05.2023 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
POST-MATCH Al Bataeh vs Al Nasr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr nicked a narrow win over Al Bataeh 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nasr as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Bataeh had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Bataeh and 1.17 for Al Nasr.

What was the final score of Al Bataeh vs Al Nasr?

Al Bataeh 2-3 Al Nasr in the UAE - League Cup on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Bataeh vs Al Nasr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Bataeh 20%, draw 26%, Al Nasr 54%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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