KaPa 2-3 JaPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 5 Sep 2025

KaPa
2-3 HT 1-1
JaPS
📅05/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
41%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.89
Over 2.5
63%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72%
1.38
No
28%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.21
2-3 Goals
39%
2.07
4-5 Goals
24%
2.37
6+ Goals
19%
4.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
14%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
41%
Away Win
31%
+9.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
31%
+5.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
69%
-5.7pp
72%
BTTS Yes
68%
+3.2pp
28%
BTTS No
32%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KaPa EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY JaPS EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +12%
1.76/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.82
+9% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KaPa
1W-3D-2L
AWAY JaPS
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 KaPa KaPa 0-3 HT 0-1 JaPS JaPS FİN2
06.06.2025 JaPS JaPS 2-2 HT 0-2 KaPa KaPa FİN2
02.03.2025 KaPa KaPa 5-0 JaPS JaPS FINYK
19.10.2024 KaPa KaPa 3-5 JaPS JaPS FİN2
28.06.2024 JaPS JaPS 2-2 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
28.04.2024 KaPa KaPa 3-3 HT 2-2 JaPS JaPS FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KaPa
2-3
AWAY JaPS
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KaPa vs JaPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JaPS squeezed past KaPa 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 22% / 41% — and on the day JaPS made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (72%) came in.

On the day, KaPa had 46% of the ball to JaPS's 54%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JaPS led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for KaPa and 2.50 for JaPS.

What was the final score of KaPa vs JaPS?

KaPa 2-3 JaPS in the Finland - Ykkönen on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KaPa vs JaPS?

Before kick-off our model rated an JaPS win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split KaPa 37%, draw 22%, JaPS 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JaPS), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (JaPS) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN2 More Finland - Ykkönen
5 Sep 2025
18:30 TPS Turku vs EIF Analysis →