De Graafschap vs Emmen Prediction — Model Probabilities
De Graafschap v Emmen — Team-Based Signals
De Graafschap vs Emmen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
De Graafschap 2-3 Emmen — Actual Match Statistics
Emmen edged past De Graafschap 3-2 on the road. Half-time: 0-2. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had De Graafschap at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (56%) landed.
On the day, possession split 58% to 42% in De Graafschap's favour, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 1.59 to 2.30.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Emmen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for De Graafschap against 1.17 for Emmen.
De Graafschap vs Emmen Result & Final Score
De Graafschap 2 - 3 Emmen in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 05/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
De Graafschap vs Emmen Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a De Graafschap win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split De Graafschap 65%, draw 19%, Emmen 16%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (De Graafschap) went the other way.