Rostov vs Fakel Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Russia - Premier League, 5 Sep 2026

📅05/09/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Fakel
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.50 xG 1.27
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
276 Passes 159
72% Pass Accuracy 60%
32 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.04.2025 Fakel Fakel 0-2 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUS
01.09.2024 Rostov Rostov 4-1 HT 2-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
14.04.2024 Fakel Fakel 0-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
23.07.2023 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 1-1 Fakel Fakel RUS
06.05.2023 Rostov Rostov 0-2 HT 0-0 Fakel Fakel RUS
22.10.2022 Fakel Fakel 1-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
PREVIEW Rostov vs Fakel
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Rostov edge the probabilities without dominating them — the sort of game that punishes overconfidence.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 0 of Rostov's last 5 home league games, and Fakel's away form is a worry — beaten in 4 of the last 5 in the league.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rostov and 0.83 for Fakel.

Rostov vs Fakel Kick-off Time

Rostov play Fakel in the Russia - Premier League on 05/09/2026, kick-off 19:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Rostov vs Fakel Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Rostov vs Fakel is a Rostov win at about 47% probability, priced 1.92 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Rostov 47%, draw 28%, Fakel 24%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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5 Sep 2026
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