Lowestoft Town 2-3 Royston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
34%
3.45
Away
28%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
2.15
Over
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
39%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.2pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.9pp
28%
Away Win
37%
-8.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.5pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lowestoft Town EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Royston Town EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lowestoft Town
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Royston Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
10.09.2024 Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town 3-2 HT 1-2 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
12.02.2022 Royston Town Royston Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town İNGNLP
19.10.2021 Lowestoft Town Lowestoft Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Lowestoft Town vs Royston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royston Town nicked a narrow win over Lowestoft Town 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 34% / 28% — and on the day Royston Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lowestoft Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lowestoft Town and 2.00 for Royston Town.

What was the final score of Lowestoft Town vs Royston Town?

Lowestoft Town 2-3 Royston Town in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lowestoft Town vs Royston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lowestoft Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lowestoft Town 38%, draw 34%, Royston Town 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lowestoft Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lowestoft Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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