Poole Town 1-1 Gosport Borough — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
2.1
Over
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
38%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.6pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poole Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gosport Borough EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
274 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Poole Town
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gosport Borough
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2024 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 1-2 HT 0-1 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
12.09.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
04.02.2023 Poole Town Poole Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
28.09.2022 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 1-2 HT 0-1 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
15.01.2022 Poole Town Poole Town 2-1 HT 2-0 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough İNGNLP
14.08.2021 Gosport Borough Gosport Borough 4-3 HT 2-1 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Poole Town vs Gosport Borough
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Poole Town and Gosport Borough couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Poole Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Poole Town and 1.33 for Gosport Borough.

What was the final score of Poole Town vs Gosport Borough?

Poole Town 1-1 Gosport Borough in the England - FA Cup on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poole Town vs Gosport Borough?

Before kick-off our model rated a Poole Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Poole Town 39%, draw 27%, Gosport Borough 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Poole Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Poole Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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