FC Gute 2-2 Farsta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
21%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.38
Over
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
66%
1.53
No
34%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
40%
4-5
31%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.4pp
21%
Away Win
25%
-4.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
61%
+4.6pp
34%
BTTS No
39%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Gute EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Farsta EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.60/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.23
-18% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +56%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Gute
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Farsta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
08.06.2024 Farsta Farsta 3-1 HT 1-0 FC Gute FC Gute İSÇ4
POST-MATCH FC Gute vs Farsta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Gute and Farsta couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Gute at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of FC Gute vs Farsta?

FC Gute 2-2 Farsta in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Gute vs Farsta?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Gute win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split FC Gute 50%, draw 29%, Farsta 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Gute) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Gute) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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