08/06/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Farsta vs FC Gute Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
46%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 51% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH
Home Win
Over 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
40%
17%
Draw
24%
38%
Away Win
36%
49%
Under 2.5
38%
51%
Over 2.5
62%
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
49%
BTTS No
36%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Farsta v FC Gute — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Farsta
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
FC Gute
EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% /
+7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-8% /
-8%
2.83/1.33
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.20/1.87
+59%
/
+14%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-24%
/
-9%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
12
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
6
321 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
387 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
3.0
POST-MATCH
Farsta vs FC Gute
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Farsta got the better of FC Gute 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Farsta as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Farsta vs FC Gute?
Farsta 3-1 FC Gute in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 08/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Farsta vs FC Gute?
Before kick-off our model rated a Farsta win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Farsta 45%, draw 17%, FC Gute 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Farsta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Farsta)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4
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