Brommapojkarna 2-0 GAIS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 5 Oct 2024

Brommapojkarna
2-0 HT 0-0
GAIS
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

Brommapojkarna vs GAIS Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.83
6+ Goals
13%
7.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.83
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
15%
5.03
X/2
14%
6.89
X/X
9%
5.54
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
22.3
2/2
14%
4.38
2/X
8%
12.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 12% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brommapojkarna v GAIS — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY GAIS EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.30/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.39
-18% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -28%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.7
24.7 Crosses 20.2
0.9 Yellow Cards 3.7

Brommapojkarna vs GAIS Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brommapojkarna
2W-1D-3L
AWAY GAIS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.79 xG 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 Passes 469
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 31
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
31.03.2024 GAIS GAIS 0-4 HT 0-2 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
14.04.2019 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 1-2 HT 0-1 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
30.09.2017 GAIS GAIS 0-0 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
17.06.2017 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 3-2 HT 1-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
24.10.2015 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-0 GAIS GAIS İSÇ2
01.05.2015 GAIS GAIS 2-1 HT 2-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2

Brommapojkarna 2-0 GAIS — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brommapojkarna
2-0
AWAY GAIS
1.21 xG 0.74
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
394 Passes 433
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 30
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brommapojkarna vs GAIS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brommapojkarna got the better of GAIS 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brommapojkarna as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brommapojkarna had 48% of the ball to GAIS's 52%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.21 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, GAIS led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brommapojkarna and 1.33 for GAIS.

What was the final score of Brommapojkarna vs GAIS?

Brommapojkarna 2-0 GAIS in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brommapojkarna vs GAIS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brommapojkarna win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Brommapojkarna 43%, draw 24%, GAIS 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brommapojkarna) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brommapojkarna) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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