Mjallby vs Vasteras SK FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mjallby v Vasteras SK FK — Team-Based Signals
Mjallby vs Vasteras SK FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Mjallby
İSÇ2
2-1
HT 1-0
Vasteras SK FK
İSÇ2
3-0
HT 2-0
Vasteras SK FK
İSÇ2
1-0
HT 0-0
Mjallby
İSÇ2
Mjallby 2-1 Vasteras SK FK — Actual Match Statistics
Mjallby nicked a narrow win over Vasteras SK FK 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Mjallby as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Mjallby had 66% of the ball to Vasteras SK FK's 34%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.37 to 0.62 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Mjallby's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mjallby and 1.00 for Vasteras SK FK.
What was the final score of Mjallby vs Vasteras SK FK?
Mjallby 2-1 Vasteras SK FK in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Vasteras SK FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 47%, draw 26%, Vasteras SK FK 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mjallby) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.