Hammarby 1-0 Halmstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.42
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.93
6+ Goals
12%
8.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.59
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.3
X/1
14%
3.51
X/2
6%
16.7
X/X
14%
7.07
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
8%
13.15
2/X
4%
20.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-12.0pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.4pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Halmstad EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.03/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.16
+5% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -9%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
481 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 76%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
24.4 Crosses 15.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Halmstad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.41
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
471 Passes 305
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 22
27 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2024 Halmstad Halmstad 2-1 HT 1-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
12.11.2023 Hammarby Hammarby 2-2 HT 1-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
04.06.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
28.11.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Hammarby İSÇ
04.07.2021 Hammarby Hammarby 1-1 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
05.11.2017 Hammarby Hammarby 1-3 HT 1-1 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby
1-0
AWAY Halmstad
1.91 xG 0.68
73% Ball Possession 27%
20 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
636 Passes 184
89% Pass Accuracy 73%
39 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hammarby vs Halmstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby squeezed past Halmstad 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hammarby as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hammarby had 73% of the ball to Halmstad's 27%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.91 to 0.68 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hammarby's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Halmstad led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hammarby and 1.33 for Halmstad.

What was the final score of Hammarby vs Halmstad?

Hammarby 1-0 Halmstad in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby vs Halmstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Hammarby 57%, draw 24%, Halmstad 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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