Inter 3-2 Torino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 5 Oct 2024

Inter
3-2 HT 2-1
Torino
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
52%
1.37
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.07
Over
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.89
2-3
39%
1.84
4-5
24%
3.16
6+
11%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.89 — our 26% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.61
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
21.05
X/1
15%
3.4
X/2
6%
16.75
X/X
12%
6.67
2/1
9%
23.6
2/2
9%
13.9
2/X
6%
21.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Inter win — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
69%
-16.8pp
27%
Draw
19%
+8.2pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Torino EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
2.14/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.65
+15% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
466 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
24.1 Crosses 14.7
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Torino
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.75 xG 0.89
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
444 Passes 313
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 Inter Inter 2-0 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
21.10.2023 Torino Torino 0-3 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
03.06.2023 Torino Torino 0-1 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
10.09.2022 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
13.03.2022 Torino Torino 1-1 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA
22.12.2021 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 1-0 Torino Torino İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
3-2
AWAY Torino
2.44 xG 1.61
80% Ball Possession 20%
29 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 5
14 Corners 0
687 Passes 127
93% Pass Accuracy 68%
48 Box Touches 7
44 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter vs Torino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter squeezed past Torino 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Inter had 80% of the ball to Torino's 20%, shots finished 29-7, expected goals 2.44 to 1.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Inter and 0.17 for Torino.

What was the final score of Inter vs Torino?

Inter 3-2 Torino in the Italy - Serie A on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Torino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Inter 52%, draw 27%, Torino 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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