Inter 2-0 Torino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 28 Apr 2024

Inter
2-0 HT 0-0
Torino
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
19%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.78
Over 2.5
41%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.87
6+ Goals
11%
17.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 30% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.93
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.5
X/1
20%
3.53
X/2
7%
12.0
X/X
13%
5.08
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
7%
10.3
2/X
9%
18.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.7pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.9pp
19%
Away Win
17%
+2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.0pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Torino EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
2.13/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.51
+21% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
22.8 Crosses 15.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Torino
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.87 xG 0.90
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
444 Passes 294
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 Torino Torino 0-3 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
03.06.2023 Torino Torino 0-1 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
10.09.2022 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
13.03.2022 Torino Torino 1-1 HT 1-0 Inter Inter İTA
22.12.2021 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 1-0 Torino Torino İTA
14.03.2021 Torino Torino 1-2 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
2-0
AWAY Torino
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
616 Passes 347
91% Pass Accuracy 88%
POST-MATCH Inter vs Torino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter got the better of Torino 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Inter had 62% of the ball to Torino's 38%, shots finished 17-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Inter and 0.33 for Torino.

What was the final score of Inter vs Torino?

Inter 2-0 Torino in the Italy - Serie A on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Torino?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Inter 51%, draw 30%, Torino 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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