Udinese vs Lecce Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Udinese v Lecce — Team-Based Signals
Udinese vs Lecce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Lecce
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Udinese
İTA
2-0
HT 1-0
Lecce
HAZ
1-1
HT 0-1
Lecce
İTA
1-2
HT 1-1
Lecce
İTA
Udinese 1-0 Lecce — Actual Match Statistics
Udinese edged past Lecce 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Udinese found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Udinese had 56% of the ball to Lecce's 44%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.87 to 0.51.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Udinese and 0.83 for Lecce.
What was the final score of Udinese vs Lecce?
Udinese 1-0 Lecce in the Italy - Serie A on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Udinese vs Lecce?
Before kick-off our model rated a Udinese win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Udinese 39%, draw 26%, Lecce 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Udinese), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.