Köln 2-0 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 5 Oct 2024

Köln
2-0 HT 1-0
Ulm 1846
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Köln vs Ulm 1846 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.26
2-3 Goals
39%
2.1
4-5 Goals
29%
2.54
6+ Goals
15%
5.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.49
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
21.2
X/1
19%
3.67
X/2
10%
19.35
X/X
8%
8.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.4
2/2
6%
13.5
2/X
7%
20.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.4 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
72%
-16.9pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.7pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.7pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Köln v Ulm 1846 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm 1846 EU Bookmakers 14%
-13% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.92/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.16
+38% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / –
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
417 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
34.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
24.4 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0

Köln 2-0 Ulm 1846 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln
2-0
AWAY Ulm 1846
1.82 xG 0.14
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 4
469 Passes 303
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
34 Box Touches 6
11 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Köln vs Ulm 1846
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln got the better of Ulm 1846 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Köln as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Köln had 58% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 42%, shots finished 22-3, expected goals 1.82 to 0.14.

What was the final score of Köln vs Ulm 1846?

Köln 2-0 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln vs Ulm 1846?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Köln 55%, draw 23%, Ulm 1846 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Köln) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Köln) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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