Schalke 04 2-2 Hertha Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.96
4-5 Goals
28%
2.73
6+ Goals
12%
7.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.1
1/2
8%
26.0
1/X
7%
12.45
X/1
13%
5.49
X/2
13%
6.39
X/X
11%
5.65
2/1
9%
23.15
2/2
15%
3.83
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.5pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.45/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.96
+14% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -46%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
24.6 Crosses 20.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schalke 04
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Hertha Berlin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.24 xG 1.86
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
270 Passes 309
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 5-2 HT 3-2 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
08.10.2023 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-2 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
14.04.2023 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 5-2 HT 2-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
23.10.2022 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 2-1 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
12.05.2021 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-2 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL1
02.01.2021 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 3-0 HT 1-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schalke 04
2-2
AWAY Hertha Berlin
1.59 xG 1.96
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
390 Passes 304
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 35
20 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 vs Hertha Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schalke 04 and Hertha Berlin couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Schalke 04 had 55% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 45%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.59 to 1.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Schalke 04 and 2.67 for Hertha Berlin.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 vs Hertha Berlin?

Schalke 04 2-2 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 vs Hertha Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schalke 04 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 40%, draw 24%, Hertha Berlin 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Schalke 04) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Schalke 04) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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