Nürnberg 3-2 Preussen Münster — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.64
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.5
X/1
13%
5.9
X/2
13%
5.65
X/X
12%
5.25
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
15%
3.43
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.0pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Preussen Münster EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +56% / +56%
1.37/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.47/1.61
-5% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +101% /
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
19.5 Crosses 19.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg
3-2
AWAY Preussen Münster
1.02 xG 1.31
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
344 Passes 184
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nürnberg vs Preussen Münster
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg nicked a narrow win over Preussen Münster 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Nürnberg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Nürnberg had 62% of the ball to Preussen Münster's 38%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 1.02 to 1.31.

What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Preussen Münster?

Nürnberg 3-2 Preussen Münster in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Preussen Münster?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 38%, draw 27%, Preussen Münster 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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