05/10/2024
·
14:15
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Lyseng vs Odder Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
33%
Draw
25%
28%
Away Win
37%
45%
Under 2.5
40%
55%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
40%
BTTS No
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lyseng v Odder — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lyseng
EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
Odder
EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% /
-3%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+3%
1.65/1.50
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/2.00
+5%
/
-20%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+39%
/
-27%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
12
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
6
344 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
317 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
0.0
POST-MATCH
Lyseng vs Odder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Odder nicked a narrow win over Lyseng 2-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 28% — and on the day Odder made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) came in.
What was the final score of Lyseng vs Odder?
Lyseng 1-2 Odder in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lyseng vs Odder?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lyseng win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lyseng 39%, draw 33%, Odder 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lyseng) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Lyseng)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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DAN3
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5 Oct 2024