Naesby 4-1 Silkeborg KFUM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
18%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.3pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.7pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Silkeborg KFUM EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.25/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.81
+23% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Silkeborg KFUM
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Naesby Naesby 2-0 HT 1-0 Silkeborg KFUM Silkeborg KFUM DAN3
08.09.2023 Silkeborg KFUM Silkeborg KFUM 3-3 HT 1-2 Naesby Naesby DAN3
18.03.2023 Naesby Naesby 2-0 HT 1-0 Silkeborg KFUM Silkeborg KFUM DAN3
08.10.2022 Silkeborg KFUM Silkeborg KFUM 2-1 HT 0-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
02.04.2022 Silkeborg KFUM Silkeborg KFUM 2-3 HT 1-2 Naesby Naesby DAN3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naesby
4-1
AWAY Silkeborg KFUM
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Silkeborg KFUM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby ran out comfortable winners over Silkeborg KFUM 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Naesby as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Naesby had 65% of the ball to Silkeborg KFUM's 35%, shots finished 12-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Naesby had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Naesby and 1.40 for Silkeborg KFUM.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Silkeborg KFUM?

Naesby 4-1 Silkeborg KFUM in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Silkeborg KFUM?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Naesby 54%, draw 28%, Silkeborg KFUM 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naesby), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naesby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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