05/10/2024
·
14:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
2-2
VSK Arhus vs Bronshoj BK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
23%
Draw
25%
27%
Away Win
27%
46%
Under 2.5
47%
54%
Over 2.5
53%
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
46%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
VSK Arhus v Bronshoj BK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
VSK Arhus
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bronshoj BK
EU Bookmakers 31%
+23% /
+28%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-42% /
-42%
2.65/1.12
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.50/2.00
+45%
/
+16%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-59%
/
-14%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
362 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
283 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.9
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
VSK Arhus vs Bronshoj BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
VSK Arhus beat Bronshoj BK 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had VSK Arhus as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of VSK Arhus vs Bronshoj BK?
VSK Arhus 2-0 Bronshoj BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for VSK Arhus vs Bronshoj BK?
Before kick-off our model rated a VSK Arhus win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split VSK Arhus 50%, draw 23%, Bronshoj BK 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VSK Arhus) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (VSK Arhus)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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DAN3
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5 Oct 2024