Holstebro BK 0-1 Holbaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Holbaek EU Bookmakers 45%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.50/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.77
+5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +76%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstebro BK
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Holbaek
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.09.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 2-1 HT 1-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAK
01.04.2024 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 0-1 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
16.09.2023 Holbaek Holbaek 3-0 HT 2-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
09.05.2021 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-3 HT 1-2 Holbaek Holbaek DAN2
31.10.2020 Holbaek Holbaek 3-0 HT 0-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN2
POST-MATCH Holstebro BK vs Holbaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holbaek edged past Holstebro BK 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Holbaek as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Holbaek led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Holstebro BK and 2.40 for Holbaek.

What was the final score of Holstebro BK vs Holbaek?

Holstebro BK 0-1 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstebro BK vs Holbaek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holbaek win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Holstebro BK 34%, draw 23%, Holbaek 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holbaek) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holbaek) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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