Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Tecnico Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.64
Over 2.5
39%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+2.0pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
57%
+3.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
43%
-3.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.7pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.39/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.03
+26% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +49%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
268 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
20.2 Crosses 16.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.83 xG 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
301 Passes 278
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
29.08.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
02.04.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 3-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
04.10.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
07.05.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
23.11.2021 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 3-1 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1-1
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
2.06 xG 0.58
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
317 Passes 247
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cuenca and Tecnico Universitario couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Cuenca at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 55% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 45%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.06 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tecnico Universitario led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 1.67 for Tecnico Universitario.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?

Deportivo Cuenca 1-1 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cuenca win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 42%, draw 30%, Tecnico Universitario 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cuenca) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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