Libertad vs Cumbaya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v Cumbaya — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs Cumbaya Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
Cumbaya
EKV1
2-1
HT 1-0
Libertad
EKV1
Libertad 2-1 Cumbaya — Actual Match Statistics
Libertad squeezed past Cumbaya 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Libertad had 49% of the ball to Cumbaya's 51%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.89 to 1.30.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Libertad and 1.00 for Cumbaya.
What was the final score of Libertad vs Cumbaya?
Libertad 2-1 Cumbaya in the Ecuador - Premier on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs Cumbaya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Libertad 48%, draw 31%, Cumbaya 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.