JaPS 1-4 JIPPO — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 5 Oct 2024

JaPS
1-4 HT 0-2
JIPPO
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.5
Draw
34%
3.72
Away
43%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.57
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.88
6+ Goals
7%
8.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.57 — our 28% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
25%
-1.4pp
34%
Draw
23%
+10.6pp
43%
Away Win
52%
-9.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JaPS EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY JIPPO EU Bookmakers 56%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -54% / -54%
1.20/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.96
+2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / -48%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JaPS
0W-1D-3L
AWAY JIPPO
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.07.2024 JIPPO JIPPO 3-2 HT 0-2 JaPS JaPS FİN2
12.05.2024 JaPS JaPS 1-5 HT 0-0 JIPPO JIPPO FİN2
03.03.2024 JIPPO JIPPO 2-2 HT 2-0 JaPS JaPS FINYK
12.10.2019 JIPPO JIPPO 8-1 HT 2-1 JaPS JaPS FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JaPS
1-4
AWAY JIPPO
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH JaPS vs JIPPO
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JIPPO cruised past JaPS 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had JIPPO as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, JaPS had 55% of the ball to JIPPO's 45%, shots finished 12-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, JIPPO led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for JaPS and 4.50 for JIPPO.

What was the final score of JaPS vs JIPPO?

JaPS 1-4 JIPPO in the Finland - Ykkönen on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JaPS vs JIPPO?

Before kick-off our model rated an JIPPO win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split JaPS 23%, draw 34%, JIPPO 43%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (JIPPO), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (JIPPO) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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