SalPa Salo 1-4 KaPa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.39
No
49%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.98
2-3 Goals
43%
2.07
4-5 Goals
28%
2.57
6+ Goals
12%
5.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.4pp
49%
BTTS No
32%
+16.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY KaPa EU Bookmakers 40%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +51% / +51%
1.71/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 6.00/2.00
+10% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -33%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SalPa Salo
3W-3D-0L
AWAY KaPa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.06.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-1 HT 0-1 KaPa KaPa FİN2
19.04.2024 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
02.03.2024 KaPa KaPa 0-2 HT 0-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINYK
01.10.2023 KaPa KaPa 1-1 HT 1-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FINY
21.07.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 2-0 HT 0-0 KaPa KaPa FİN2
12.05.2023 KaPa KaPa 2-3 HT 2-1 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SalPa Salo
1-4
AWAY KaPa
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH SalPa Salo vs KaPa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KaPa ran out comfortable winners over SalPa Salo 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 24% / 37% — and on the day KaPa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, SalPa Salo had 47% of the ball to KaPa's 53%, shots finished 9-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SalPa Salo had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for SalPa Salo and 0.83 for KaPa.

What was the final score of SalPa Salo vs KaPa?

SalPa Salo 1-4 KaPa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SalPa Salo vs KaPa?

Before kick-off our model rated a SalPa Salo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split SalPa Salo 40%, draw 24%, KaPa 37%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (SalPa Salo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SalPa Salo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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