Rennes 1-2 Monaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 5 Oct 2024

Rennes
1-2 HT 1-2
Monaco
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2024/2025

Rennes vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
33%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.97
Over 2.5
51%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.7
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.94
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.4
X/1
9%
6.03
X/2
12%
5.47
X/X
16%
4.7
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
14%
3.43
2/X
5%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+4.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
33%
Away Win
38%
-5.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rennes v Monaco — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rennes EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Monaco EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +26%
1.68/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.18
+36% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
15.7 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6

Rennes vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rennes
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Monaco
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.69 xG 1.66
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
417 Passes 305
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Monaco Monaco 1-0 HT 1-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
09.12.2023 Rennes Rennes 1-2 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
27.05.2023 Rennes Rennes 2-0 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
13.08.2022 Monaco Monaco 1-1 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
15.04.2022 Rennes Rennes 2-3 HT 1-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
22.12.2021 Monaco Monaco 2-1 HT 1-1 Rennes Rennes FR1

Rennes 1-2 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rennes
1-2
AWAY Monaco
0.75 xG 0.58
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
422 Passes 280
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rennes vs Monaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monaco edged past Rennes 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Monaco made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Rennes had 58% of the ball to Monaco's 42%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 0.75 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rennes and 1.50 for Monaco.

What was the final score of Rennes vs Monaco?

Rennes 1-2 Monaco in the France - Ligue 1 on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rennes vs Monaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rennes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Rennes 39%, draw 28%, Monaco 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rennes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rennes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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