Monaco 1-0 Rennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 7 Apr 2024

Monaco
1-0 HT 1-0
Rennes
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒18:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Monaco vs Rennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.43
Over 2.5
46%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.5
No
57%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
5.25
2-3 Goals
42%
1.98
4-5 Goals
22%
2.7
6+ Goals
9%
6.81
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.25 — our 27% vs market 14.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.26
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
10%
4.44
X/2
10%
8.7
X/X
13%
6.15
2/1
5%
20.2
2/2
15%
5.7
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
38%
+16.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
62%
-16.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
62%
-19.9pp
57%
BTTS No
38%
+19.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monaco v Rennes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monaco EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rennes EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -12%
1.51/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.53
-7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
18.4 Crosses 13.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9

Monaco vs Rennes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monaco
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rennes
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.55 xG 1.54
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
291 Passes 436
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 28
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Rennes Rennes 1-2 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
27.05.2023 Rennes Rennes 2-0 HT 0-0 Monaco Monaco FR1
13.08.2022 Monaco Monaco 1-1 HT 0-0 Rennes Rennes FR1
15.04.2022 Rennes Rennes 2-3 HT 1-1 Monaco Monaco FR1
22.12.2021 Monaco Monaco 2-1 HT 1-1 Rennes Rennes FR1
16.05.2021 Monaco Monaco 2-1 HT 2-0 Rennes Rennes FR1

Monaco 1-0 Rennes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monaco
1-0
AWAY Rennes
2.05 xG 1.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
352 Passes 333
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Monaco vs Rennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monaco edged past Rennes 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Monaco as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Monaco had 52% of the ball to Rennes's 48%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 2.05 to 1.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monaco had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Monaco and 1.33 for Rennes.

What was the final score of Monaco vs Rennes?

Monaco 1-0 Rennes in the France - Ligue 1 on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monaco vs Rennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Monaco 46%, draw 24%, Rennes 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monaco), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Monaco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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