Toulouse 0-0 RC Strasbourg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 7 Apr 2024

Toulouse
0-0 HT 0-0
RC Strasbourg
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Toulouse vs RC Strasbourg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.03
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.86
6+ Goals
11%
17.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.86 — our 25% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.5
X/1
12%
4.61
X/2
13%
6.62
X/X
7%
4.43
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.96
2/X
7%
13.9
Value flag · 1/X at 13.5 — our 12% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Toulouse v RC Strasbourg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toulouse EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
1.48/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.48
+5% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
19.6 Crosses 16.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Toulouse vs RC Strasbourg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toulouse
1W-1D-4L
AWAY RC Strasbourg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.02 xG 2.14
49% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
357 Passes 362
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.08.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 2-0 HT 0-0 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
29.01.2023 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-2 HT 1-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
23.10.2022 Toulouse Toulouse 2-2 HT 1-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
05.02.2020 Toulouse Toulouse 0-1 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
07.12.2019 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 4-2 HT 2-1 Toulouse Toulouse FR1
19.07.2019 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 3-1 HT 1-0 Toulouse Toulouse HAZ

Toulouse 0-0 RC Strasbourg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toulouse
0-0
AWAY RC Strasbourg
0.99 xG 0.47
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
421 Passes 456
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 7
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Toulouse vs RC Strasbourg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Toulouse and RC Strasbourg played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Toulouse at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Toulouse had 48% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 52%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.99 to 0.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, RC Strasbourg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Toulouse and 2.17 for RC Strasbourg.

What was the final score of Toulouse vs RC Strasbourg?

Toulouse 0-0 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toulouse vs RC Strasbourg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Toulouse win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Toulouse 41%, draw 26%, RC Strasbourg 33%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Toulouse) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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