Montpellier 2-0 Lorient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 7 Apr 2024

Montpellier
2-0 HT 0-0
Lorient
📅07/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Ligue 1 – 2023/2024

Montpellier vs Lorient Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.89
6+ Goals
15%
8.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.36
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
15%
4.42
X/2
9%
8.41
X/X
11%
5.68
2/1
8%
21.25
2/2
12%
5.73
2/X
9%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Montpellier v Lorient — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montpellier EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Lorient EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.82/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.38
+27% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
384 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
23.6 Crosses 15.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Montpellier vs Lorient Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montpellier
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Lorient
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.75 xG 1.02
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
390 Passes 380
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Lorient Lorient 0-3 HT 0-1 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
14.05.2023 Montpellier Montpellier 1-1 HT 0-0 Lorient Lorient FR1
29.12.2022 Lorient Lorient 0-2 HT 0-2 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
20.02.2022 Lorient Lorient 0-1 HT 0-0 Montpellier Montpellier FR1
22.08.2021 Montpellier Montpellier 3-1 HT 0-1 Lorient Lorient FR1
03.03.2021 Montpellier Montpellier 1-1 HT 1-1 Lorient Lorient FR1

Montpellier 2-0 Lorient — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montpellier
2-0
AWAY Lorient
2.35 xG 1.46
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
317 Passes 408
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 33
23 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Montpellier vs Lorient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montpellier got the better of Lorient 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Montpellier as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Montpellier had 45% of the ball to Lorient's 55%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 2.35 to 1.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Montpellier had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Montpellier and 0.50 for Lorient.

What was the final score of Montpellier vs Lorient?

Montpellier 2-0 Lorient in the France - Ligue 1 on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montpellier vs Lorient?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Montpellier 45%, draw 26%, Lorient 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montpellier) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Montpellier) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FR1 More France - Ligue 1
7 Apr 2024
14:00 Brest vs Metz Analysis →
16:00 Toulouse vs RC Strasbourg Analysis →
16:00 Reims vs Nice Analysis →
18:05 Monaco vs Rennes Analysis →
21:45 Nantes vs Lyon Analysis →