Arsenal U21 2-5 Tottenham U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.8
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
45%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.33
No
38%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
14%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
52%
-15.8pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.8pp
45%
Away Win
27%
+17.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
71%
-8.9pp
38%
BTTS No
29%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal U21 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham U21 EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
2.64/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+20% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +130%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
410 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.8 Crosses 6.0
0.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Tottenham U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.24 xG 0.82
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
382 Passes 416
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
37 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2024 Arsenal U21 Arsenal U21 1-1 HT 0-1 Tottenham U21 Tottenham U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal U21
2-5
AWAY Tottenham U21
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 0
328 Passes 355
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
30 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Arsenal U21 vs Tottenham U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham U21 cruised past Arsenal U21 5-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tottenham U21 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arsenal U21 had 49% of the ball to Tottenham U21's 51%, shots finished 13-18.

What was the final score of Arsenal U21 vs Tottenham U21?

Arsenal U21 2-5 Tottenham U21 in the INGPL2 on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal U21 vs Tottenham U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tottenham U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Arsenal U21 36%, draw 19%, Tottenham U21 45%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tottenham U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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